Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
The Footlab model makes Bangkok United the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Lamphun Warrior. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?
Bangkok United starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lamphun Warrior have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Bangkok United have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 1-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lamphun Warrior win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bangkok United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior 1-1 Bangkok United | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior 2-1 Bangkok United | FA Cup |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bangkok United 4-3 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior 0-1 Bangkok United | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Bangkok United 3-2 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Bangkok United 2-2 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lamphun Warrior score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bangkok United score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamphun Warrior | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Bangkok United | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lamphun Warrior sit 12th in Thai League 1 (29 points from 30 matches) and Bangkok United sit 5th (50 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bangkok United | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 50 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 47 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?
- The Footlab model makes Bangkok United the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Lamphun Warrior.
- Where and when is Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United played?
- Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.