Match

Lancing vs Horndean: result 4-1 and analysis

Non League Div One - Isthmian South EastIsthmian South East - 20Kick-off on January 1, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Culver Road, Lancing, West Sussex

Lancing

4-1

Horndean

Full time

What was the result of Lancing vs Horndean?

Lancing won 4-1 on January 1, 2024.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancing have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Horndean have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lancing
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 30, 2023	Merstham(away)	2-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Dec 26, 2023	Burgess Hill Town(away)	4-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Dec 16, 2023	Sheppey United(home)	1-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Dec 2, 2023	Ashford United(away)	4-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Nov 28, 2023	Beckenham Town(away)	3-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

Horndean
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 26, 2023	Littlehampton Town(home)	2-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Dec 16, 2023	Herne Bay(away)	3-4	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Dec 2, 2023	Beckenham Town(home)	4-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Nov 25, 2023	Merstham(away)	1-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Nov 11, 2023	Hythe Town(home)	0-4	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

How many goals should we expect?

Lancing score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Horndean score 1.6 and concede 2.1.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lancing	2.2	2.0	2	12/15	14/15
Horndean	1.6	2.1	2	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
22	Lancing	42	6	4	32	37	118	22

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy