Lancy vs Naters: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Marignac, Grand-Lancy
The Footlab model makes Lancy the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Naters. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lancy vs Naters?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Lancy (1,703) and Naters (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancy have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Naters have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sion II(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lausanne Sport II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Terre Sainte(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stade Payerne(away) | 3-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chênois(away) | 4-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Echallens(away) | 6-5 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Coffrane(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lancy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Naters win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Lancy 0-1 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Naters 3-0 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Naters 1-1 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Lancy 1-0 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 21, 2022 | Lancy 3-5 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Naters 1-2 Lancy | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lancy score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Naters score 2.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancy | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Naters | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancy sit 8th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (4 points from 3 matches) and Naters sit 4th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Naters | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 8 | Lancy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lancy vs Naters?
- The Footlab model makes Lancy the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Naters.
- Where and when is Lancy vs Naters played?
- Lancy vs Naters is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Marignac, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.