Lanus vs Boca Juniors: prediction and stats
Copa ArgentinaRound 16 - R16Kick-off on September 28, 2016 at 11:10 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanus have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Boca Juniors have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | Aldosivi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2016 | Patronato(home) | 2-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | Quilmes(home) | 4-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Lanus(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 22, 2016 | Santamarina(away) | 2-1 | Copa Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lanus win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Boca Juniors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2016 | Lanus 1-0 Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 20, 2015 | Lanus 1-3 Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Lanus vs Boca Juniors on Aug 28, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Lanus score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Boca Juniors score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanus | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Boca Juniors | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy