Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis II: prediction and stats
Super League 2Matchday 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AEL Arena, Larissa
The Footlab AI model makes Larisa the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Asteras Tripolis II. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis II?
Larisa starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Larisa
4-4-1-1- 87Nikos Nitsos
- 57L. Andrada
- 19C.Lelekas
- 8K. Papageorgiou
- 6Damian Silva
- 37A. Tsingaras
- 5Timotheos Tselepidis
- 3K. Grozos
- 28A. Parras
- 2G. Agapakis
- 1N. Melissas
Asteras Tripolis II
Not enough data to predict the Asteras Tripolis II lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larisa have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Asteras Tripolis II have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 0-0 | Super League 2 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 3-0 | Super League 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus II(home) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | OFI(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kallithea(away) | 1-1 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | PAOK II(home) | 4-0 | Super League 2 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(away) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 1-1 | Super League 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zakynthos(home) | 1-1 | Super League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Larisa score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Tripolis II score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Asteras Tripolis II | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Larisa sit 4th in Super League 2 (19 points from 10 matches) and Asteras Tripolis II sit 8th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Larisa | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Asteras Tripolis II | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Larisa the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Asteras Tripolis II.
- Where and when is Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis II played?
- Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AEL Arena, in the Super League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.