Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff roundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab model makes Larne the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Lincoln Red Imps FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Larne (1,698) and Lincoln Red Imps FC (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larne have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lincoln Red Imps FC have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coleraine FC(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Larne win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lincoln Red Imps FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2024 | Larne 3-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 2-1 Larne | UEFA Europa Conference League |
Last archived meeting: Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC on Aug 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Larne score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln Red Imps FC score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | 1.4 | 1.2 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?
- The Footlab model makes Larne the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Lincoln Red Imps FC.
- Where and when is Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC played?
- Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC is played on August 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.