Match

Le Touquet vs Avranches: prediction and stats

Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Gerard Houllier, Le Touquet-Paris-Plage

Le TouquetAvranches

The Footlab AI model makes Avranches the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Le Touquet. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Le Touquet vs Avranches?

Avranches starts as the favourite with a 296-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,553).

9%15%76%
Le Touquet winDrawAvranches win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Le Touquet vs Avranches

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Le Touquet

4-3-3
  1. 10Abdoul Moustapha Kaboré
  2. FFlorent Halle
  3. 9A. Koura
  1. RRémi Douville
  2. 7Thibault Rivière
  3. 11Maicol Ezequiel Rodríguez Alonso
  1. 8Quentin Boudsocq
  2. 8Lucas Fruitier
  3. 5F. Theron
  4. 4Benjamin Trunet
  1. 1Reynald Framery

Avranches

Not enough data to predict the Avranches lineup.

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Touquet have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Avranches have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Le Touquet
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 30, 2024RC Calais(home)0-1Coupe de France
Nov 17, 2024Porto Portugais Amiens(home)1-1Coupe de France
Jun 4, 2022Boulogne II(home)2-0National 3 - Group I
May 28, 2022US Maubeuge(away)2-2National 3 - Group I
May 21, 2022Olympique Marcquois(home)3-3National 3 - Group I
Avranches
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Bayonne(away)3-0National 2 - Group B
Oct 17, 2026Tarbes(home)2-0National 2 - Group B
Oct 2, 2026Chauray(away)2-0National 2 - Group B
Sep 19, 2026Saint-Colomban Locminé(away)0-1National 2 - Group B
Sep 12, 2026Dinan Léhon(home)0-0National 2 - Group B

How many goals should we expect?

Le Touquet score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avranches score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Le Touquet1.32.128/156/15
Avranches1.51.157/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Le Touquet vs Avranches?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Le Touquet vs Avranches?
The Footlab AI model makes Avranches the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Le Touquet.
Where and when is Le Touquet vs Avranches played?
Le Touquet vs Avranches is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Gerard Houllier, in the Coupe de France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Le Touquet and Avranches

Ready to know everything about football?