Match

Leeds United U21 vs Stockport County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)LNER Community Stadium, York, North Yorkshire

Leeds United U21Stockport County U21

The Footlab model makes Leeds United U21 the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Stockport County U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leeds United U21 vs Stockport County U21?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Leeds United U21 (1,720) and Stockport County U21 (1,735).

Leeds United U21 win44 %
Draw23 %
Stockport County U21 win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leeds United U21 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Stockport County U21 have 5, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leeds United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026West Bromwich Albion U21(home)4-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Boreham Wood(away)2-5National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U21(away)0-0Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026Leicester City U21(home)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 3, 2026Manchester United U21(home)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Stockport County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 4, 2026Burnley U21(home)3-1Premier League Cup
Dec 22, 2025Cardiff City U21(home)2-1Premier League Cup
Dec 5, 2025Cardiff City U21(away)2-7Premier League Cup
Nov 28, 2025Queens Park Rangers U21(away)1-2Premier League Cup
Oct 17, 2025Burnley U21(away)2-3Premier League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leeds United U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stockport County U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 17, 2024Stockport County U21 4-2 Leeds United U21Premier League Cup
Oct 21, 2024Leeds United U21 3-1 Stockport County U21Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: Stockport County U21 vs Leeds United U21 on Dec 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Leeds United U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stockport County U21 score 2.0 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leeds United U211.12.529/1512/15
Stockport County U212.02.7011/1312/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Stockport County U21620411176

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leeds United U21 vs Stockport County U21?
The Footlab model makes Leeds United U21 the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Stockport County U21.
Where and when is Leeds United U21 vs Stockport County U21 played?
Leeds United U21 vs Stockport County U21 is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Community Stadium, in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leeds United U21 and Stockport County U21

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