Where and when is Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21 played?

Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21 is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Community Stadium, in the Premier League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)LNER Community Stadium, York, North Yorkshire

Leeds United U21

Stoke City U21

The Footlab model makes Leeds United U21 the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Leeds United U21 (1,720) and Stoke City U21 (1,629).

Leeds United U21 win56 %

Draw21 %

Stoke City U21 win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leeds United U21 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Stoke City U21 have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leeds United U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	West Bromwich Albion U21(home)	4-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Boreham Wood(away)	2-5	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Stoke City U21(away)	0-0	Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026	Leicester City U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 3, 2026	Manchester United U21(home)	1-2	Premier League 2 Division One

Stoke City U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Brentford U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Scunthorpe(away)	0-4	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Leeds United U21(home)	0-0	Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026	Chester(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Tamworth(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leeds United U21 win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Stoke City U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Stoke City U21 0-0 Leeds United U21	Premier League Cup
Jan 16, 2026	Leeds United U21 0-1 Stoke City U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 16, 2024	Stoke City U21 1-1 Leeds United U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 1, 2023	Leeds United U21 2-1 Stoke City U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 17, 2023	Stoke City U21 1-1 Leeds United U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 30, 2022	Leeds United U21 4-0 Stoke City U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Stoke City U21 vs Leeds United U21 on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leeds United U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leeds United U21	1.1	2.5	2	9/15	12/15
Stoke City U21	0.9	2.6	3	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Stoke City U21	6	1	3	2	10	12	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?: The Footlab model makes Leeds United U21 the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21 played?: Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21 is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Community Stadium, in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.