Lefkimmi vs Aris Filiates: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 · Matchday 21Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Lefkímmis, Lefkímmis
The Footlab AI model makes Aris Filiates the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Lefkimmi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aris Filiates wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lefkimmi vs Aris Filiates?
Aris Filiates starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,629 vs 1,486).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lefkimmi vs Aris Filiates
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lefkimmi
Not enough data to predict the Lefkimmi lineup.
Aris Filiates
Not enough data to predict the Aris Filiates lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lefkimmi have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Aris Filiates have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Panagriniakos(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Preveza(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Panegialios(home) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Plataria(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Agios Matthaios(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Plataria(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atromitos Patras(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pallixouriakos(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Panagriniakos(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Panegialios(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lefkimmi win, 0 draws, 1 Aris Filiates win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Aris Filiates 1-0 Lefkimmi | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Lefkimmi 3-2 Aris Filiates | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Aris Filiates vs Lefkimmi on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lefkimmi score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aris Filiates score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lefkimmi | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Aris Filiates | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lefkimmi sit 10th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (0 points from 2 matches) and Aris Filiates sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aris Filiates | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lefkimmi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
A question about Lefkimmi vs Aris Filiates?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lefkimmi vs Aris Filiates?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aris Filiates the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Lefkimmi.
- Where and when is Lefkimmi vs Aris Filiates played?
- Lefkimmi vs Aris Filiates is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lefkímmis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.