Leicesterfield vs Lerumo Lions: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Leicesterfield the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Lerumo Lions. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leicesterfield vs Lerumo Lions?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Leicesterfield (1,585) and Lerumo Lions (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicesterfield have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lerumo Lions have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orbit College(home) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Cape Town City(home) | 2-4 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | The Bees(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Venda FC(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Casric Stars(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Venda FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Black Leopards(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | University of Pretoria(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leicesterfield win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lerumo Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Leicesterfield 0-0 Lerumo Lions | 1st Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Lerumo Lions 4-0 Leicesterfield | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Leicesterfield vs Lerumo Lions on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leicesterfield score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lerumo Lions score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicesterfield | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lerumo Lions | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leicesterfield sit 4th in 1st Division (3 points from 1 matches) and Lerumo Lions sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Leicesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leicesterfield vs Lerumo Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Leicesterfield the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Lerumo Lions.
- Where and when is Leicesterfield vs Lerumo Lions played?
- Leicesterfield vs Lerumo Lions is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.