Leobendorf vs Oberwart: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Leobendorf, Leobendorf
The Footlab model makes Oberwart the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leobendorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leobendorf vs Oberwart?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Leobendorf (1,644) and Oberwart (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leobendorf have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Oberwart have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Traiskirchen(away) | 4-5 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Horn(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Parndorf(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SCR Altach(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wienerberg(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Scheiblingkirchen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiener Viktoria(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-7 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Leobendorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Oberwart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Oberwart 4-0 Leobendorf | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Leobendorf 2-1 Oberwart | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Oberwart 1-2 Leobendorf | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Leobendorf 0-1 Oberwart | Regionalliga - Ost |
Last archived meeting: Oberwart vs Leobendorf on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leobendorf score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oberwart score 2.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leobendorf | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Oberwart | 2.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leobendorf sit 10th in Regionalliga - Ost (5 points from 4 matches) and Oberwart sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oberwart | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Leobendorf | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Oberwart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Leobendorf | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leobendorf vs Oberwart?
- The Footlab model makes Oberwart the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leobendorf.
- Where and when is Leobendorf vs Oberwart played?
- Leobendorf vs Oberwart is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Leobendorf, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.