Leon vs Toluca: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
Full time
What was the result of Leon vs Toluca?
Leon won 1-0 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 39′N. LópezLeon
Official lineup for Leon vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Leon
4-3-1-2- 17N. López
- 9B. Rubio
- 20J. Alvarado
- 28D. Ramírez
- 8J. Rodríguez
- 29L. Romero
- 24O. Rodríguez
- 25P. Bellón
- 22A. Frías
- 7I. Moreno
- 30R. Cota
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 19I. López
- 11M. Araújo
- 31R. Morales
- 7J. Domínguez
- 14M. Ruiz
- 23C. Baeza
- 184A. Villegas
- 4V. Huerta
- 26A. Mosquera
- 17B. García
- 1Tiago Volpi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2023 | Santos Laguna(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Monterrey(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leon win, 4 draws, 1 Toluca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Leon 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 2, 2022 | Leon 4-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| May 10, 2021 | Leon 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Leon 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Leon score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon sit 5th in Liga MX (18 points from 11 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
A question about Leon vs Toluca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy