Leon vs Toluca: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
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What was the result of Leon vs Toluca?
Leon won 1-0 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 39′N. LópezLeon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2023 | Santos Laguna(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Monterrey(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leon win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Leon 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 2, 2022 | Leon 4-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| May 10, 2021 | Leon 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Leon 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Leon score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon sit 14th in Liga MX (3 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy