Leon vs Toluca: result 4-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 18Kick-off on November 10, 2019 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
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What was the result of Leon vs Toluca?
Leon won 4-0 on November 10, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 22′J. MenesesLeon
- 62′Y. MorenoLeon
- 70′I. OchoaLeon
- 82′J. MacíasLeon (pen.)
Official lineup for Leon vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Leon
4-2-3-1- 21J. Macías
- 15I. Ochoa
- 16J. Meneses
- 8J. Campbell
- 13Á. Mena
- 7I. Sosa
- 11Y. Moreno
- 22M. Herrera
- 6W. Tesillo
- 5F. Navarro
- 30R. Cota
Toluca
3-5-2- 30L. Hernández
- 25A. Canelo
- 23R. Ruíz
- 10Diego Rigonato
- 17F. Pardo
- 8William Fernando da Silva
- 4A. Mora
- 6A. Chalá
- 26G. Sauro
- 5J. Maidana
- 1A. Talavera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Toluca have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2019 | Monarcas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2019 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 20, 2019 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Veracruz(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2019 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2019 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2019 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Veracruz(away) | 1-0 | Copa MX |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Puebla(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leon wins, 1 draw, 2 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | Leon 3-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Toluca 1-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Leon 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Toluca 3-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Leon 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Toluca 1-1 Leon | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Leon score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon sit 5th in Liga MX (18 points from 11 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
A question about Leon vs Toluca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy