Leon vs Toluca: result 4-4 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 17Kick-off on May 2, 2022 at 01:06 AM (UTC)Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
Full time
What was the result of Leon vs Toluca?
Leon and Toluca drew 4-4 on May 2, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 14′Ian GonzálezToluca
- 18′V. DávilaLeon
- 23′Á. MenaLeon
- 26′L. FernándezToluca
- 33′O. RodríguezToluca (o.g.)
- 37′J. MenesesLeon
- 57′A. CaneloToluca
- 90′S. BarreiroLeon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2022 | Santos Laguna(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 21, 2022 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | Atlas(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2022 | FC Juarez(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Monterrey(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leon win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| May 10, 2021 | Leon 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Leon 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Toluca 2-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Leon 4-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Leon 3-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Leon score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Toluca | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon sit 14th in Liga MX (3 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy