Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz: result 2-3 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 7Kick-off on September 14, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
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What was the result of Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz?
CA La Paz won 2-3 on September 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 13′E. RiveraLeones Negros UDG
- 30′O. MillánCA La Paz
- 45′D. ÁlvarezCA La Paz (pen.)
- 70′E. RiveraLeones Negros UDG (pen.)
- 79′U. JaimesCA La Paz (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leones Negros UDG have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; CA La Paz have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2025 | Tepatitlán(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Tlaxcala(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tapatío(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Irapuato(home) | 4-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Dorados(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Venados FC(away) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Tapatío(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leones Negros UDG win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 CA La Paz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | CA La Paz 3-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 3-0 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| May 6, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 3-1 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| May 3, 2024 | CA La Paz 1-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 2-4 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 23, 2023 | CA La Paz 3-0 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leones Negros UDG score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CA La Paz score 1.5 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones Negros UDG | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| CA La Paz | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leones Negros UDG sit 5th in Liga de Expansión MX (6 points from 3 matches) and CA La Paz sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros UDG | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Leones Negros UDG | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | CA La Paz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | CA La Paz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy