Lexington vs Forward Madison: result 1-0 and analysis
USL League One CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on April 28, 2024 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Lexington SC Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky
Full time
What was the result of Lexington vs Forward Madison?
Lexington won 1-0 on April 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 90′K. FoxLexington
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lexington have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Forward Madison have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Spokane Velocity(home) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Tormenta(away) | 0-3 | USL League One |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 2-3 | USL League One |
| Mar 23, 2024 | One Knoxville(away) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Vermont Green(away) | 3-4 | US Open Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Richmond Kickers(home) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Chicago Fire II(away) | 0-2 | US Open Cup |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Central Valley Fuego(away) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Duluth(home) | 2-0 | US Open Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lexington win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Forward Madison win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Forward Madison 2-2 Lexington | USL League One |
| Jun 23, 2023 | Forward Madison 3-2 Lexington | USL League One |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Lexington 0-0 Forward Madison | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Forward Madison vs Lexington on Sep 30, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Lexington score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Forward Madison score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Forward Madison | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lexington sit 19th in USL League One Cup (6 points from 4 matches) and Forward Madison sit 32nd (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lexington | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Forward Madison | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Lexington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 27, 2024Spokane Velocity1-1Central Valley Fuego
- Apr 27, 2024Greenville Triumph1-1Richmond Kickers
- Apr 27, 2024Tormenta1-1Charlotte Independence
- Apr 27, 2024Chattanooga Red Wolves0-1One Knoxville
- May 1, 2024Union Omaha2-2Northern Colorado
- May 11, 2024Charlotte Independence1-2Forward Madison
- May 11, 2024One Knoxville1-5Northern Colorado