Lexington vs Louisville City: result 1-2 and analysis
USL League One CupGroup Stage - 7Kick-off on July 26, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Lexington SC Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky
Full time
What was the result of Lexington vs Louisville City?
Louisville City won 1-2 on July 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 87′J. GreeneLexington
- 90′J. MorrisLouisville City
- 90′J. MorrisLouisville City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lexington have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Louisville City have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | Sacramento Republic(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Miami FC(away) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Phoenix Rising(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Richmond Kickers(away) | 3-0 | USL League One Cup |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Colorado Springs(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | FC Tulsa(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Colorado Springs(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jun 29, 2025 | North Carolina(home) | 1-0 | USL League One Cup |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Loudoun United(away) | 4-1 | USL Championship |
| Jun 20, 2025 | North Carolina(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lexington win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Louisville City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2025 | Louisville City 2-0 Lexington | USL Championship |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Louisville City 3-2 Lexington | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Louisville City 1-0 Lexington | US Open Cup |
Last archived meeting: Louisville City vs Lexington on May 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lexington score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Louisville City score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Louisville City | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lexington sit 19th in USL League One Cup (6 points from 4 matches) and Louisville City sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
| 1 | Louisville City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Lexington | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 19 | Lexington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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