Lexington vs North Carolina: result 2-1 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Lexington SC Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky
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What was the result of Lexington vs North Carolina?
Lexington won 2-1 on September 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′F. AjagoLexington
- 72′Nick FirminoLexington
- 87′Rodrigo Da CostaNorth Carolina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lexington have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; North Carolina have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Oakland Roots(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 17, 2025 | San Antonio(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Phoenix Rising(home) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Colorado Springs(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Detroit City(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Louisville City(away) | 1-4 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lexington win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 North Carolina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | Lexington 0-1 North Carolina | USL League One |
| Jun 18, 2023 | North Carolina 2-2 Lexington | USL League One |
| Apr 1, 2023 | North Carolina 2-1 Lexington | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Lexington vs North Carolina on Oct 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Lexington score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; North Carolina score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| North Carolina | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lexington | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | Lexington | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 31, 2025Oakland Roots1-0Monterey Bay
- Aug 31, 2025Orange County SC4-4Birmingham Legion
- Aug 31, 2025Las Vegas Lights1-0Lexington
- Aug 31, 2025Phoenix Rising3-3El Paso Locomotive
- Sep 3, 2025Hartford Athletic0-2Indy Eleven
- Sep 6, 2025Phoenix Rising0-0Las Vegas Lights
- Sep 6, 2025Detroit City4-1Orange County SC