Libertad vs Universidad Catolica: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 10Kick-off on April 29, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja
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What was the result of Libertad vs Universidad Catolica?
Libertad won 3-1 on April 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 20′N. CaicedoLibertad
- 52′J. TimmerLibertad
- 53′J. TimmerLibertad
- 67′B. PalaciosUniversidad Catolica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libertad have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Universidad Catolica have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Emelec(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 5, 2025 | El Nacional(home) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Manta FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Orense SC(home) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Orense SC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Aucas(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Macara(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Libertad win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Universidad Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2024 | Universidad Catolica 1-2 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Libertad 0-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Universidad Catolica 0-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| May 27, 2023 | Libertad 2-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Universidad Catolica vs Libertad on Aug 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Libertad score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad Catolica score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Universidad Catolica | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Libertad sit 8th in Liga Pro (34 points from 25 matches) and Universidad Catolica sit 3rd (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy