Liepājas Metalurgs II vs Ilukstes NSS: result 5-2 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Olimpija stadions, Liepāja
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What was the result of Liepājas Metalurgs II vs Ilukstes NSS?
Liepājas Metalurgs II won 5-2 on August 29, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Liepājas Metalurgs II have 11 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Ilukstes NSS have 11, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2012 | Jelgava II(home) | 6-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 19, 2012 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2012 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 4, 2012 | Auda(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2012 | Tukums(away) | 7-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2012 | Auda(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 19, 2012 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 12, 2012 | 1625 Liepāja(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 4, 2012 | Tukums(home) | 13-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Liepājas Metalurgs II score 3.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 14; Ilukstes NSS score 3.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liepājas Metalurgs II | 3.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/14 | 9/14 |
| Ilukstes NSS | 3.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/14 | 10/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy