Lille vs Caen: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on October 27, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
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What was the result of Lille vs Caen?
Lille won 1-0 on October 27, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 56′Rafael LeãoLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Caen have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Dijon(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Saint Etienne(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Marseille(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Bordeaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Nantes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Guingamp(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Marseille(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Amiens(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Montpellier(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lille win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Caen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | Caen 0-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Lille 0-2 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Caen 0-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 29, 2016 | Lille 4-2 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 3, 2016 | Lille 1-0 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 5, 2015 | Caen 1-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Caen | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy