Lillehammer vs Sandefjord II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stampesletta, Lillehammer
The Footlab model makes Lillehammer the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Sandefjord II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lillehammer vs Sandefjord II?
Lillehammer starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillehammer have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sandefjord II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strommen(home) | 2-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lyn II(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Raelingen(away) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bjørkelangen(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Drøbak / Frogn(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gjøvik-Lyn(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Elverum(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ørn Horten(away) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lillehammer win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sandefjord II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sandefjord II 4-3 Lillehammer | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Sandefjord II vs Lillehammer on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lillehammer score 3.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sandefjord II score 2.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillehammer | 3.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Sandefjord II | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lillehammer sit 1st in 3. Division - Girone 6 (41 points from 16 matches) and Sandefjord II sit 10th (22 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 21 | 41 |
| 10 | Sandefjord II | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lillehammer vs Sandefjord II?
- The Footlab model makes Lillehammer the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Sandefjord II.
- Where and when is Lillehammer vs Sandefjord II played?
- Lillehammer vs Sandefjord II is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stampesletta, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.