Where and when is Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë played?

Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Åråsen Stadion, in the UEFA Europa League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller

Lillestrom

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

The Footlab model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Lillestrom starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,857).

Lillestrom win61 %

Draw22 %

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillestrom have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lillestrom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away)	0-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 15, 2026	KFUM Oslo(away)	1-1	Eliteserien
Aug 9, 2026	Rosenborg(home)	0-2	Eliteserien
Jul 31, 2026	Bodo/Glimt(away)	0-4	Eliteserien
Jul 22, 2026	Viking(home)	1-2	Eliteserien

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Lillestrom(home)	0-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Shamrock Rovers(home)	5-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 4, 2026	Shamrock Rovers(away)	1-3	UEFA Europa League
Jul 28, 2026	Celje(away)	1-1	UEFA Champions League
Jul 22, 2026	Celje(home)	3-3	UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lillestrom win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Lillestrom	UEFA Europa League

Last archived meeting: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom on Aug 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lillestrom score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lillestrom	1.1	1.3	4	5/15	6/15
Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2.1	1.4	4	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?: The Footlab model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Where and when is Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë played?: Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Åråsen Stadion, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.