Lincoln vs Carlisle: result 4-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 26, 2017 at 02:00 PM (UTC)LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Full time
What was the result of Lincoln vs Carlisle?
Lincoln won 4-1 on August 26, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 31′A. WoodyardLincoln
- 62′A. WoodyardLincoln
- 67′M. RheadLincoln (pen.)
- 75′R. LambeCarlisle
- 87′B. KnottLincoln
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2017 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Morecambe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2017 | Rotherham(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Wycombe(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Apr 29, 2017 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2017 | Sunderland(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Cheltenham(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2017 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.8 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy