Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lions Gibraltar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Lions Gibraltar (1,307) and Mons Calpe (1,362).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lions Gibraltar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mons Calpe have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Europa(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Europa(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lions Gibraltar win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mons Calpe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Mons Calpe 3-1 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar 0-3 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Mons Calpe 0-2 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Mons Calpe 0-2 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Lions Gibraltar 4-2 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Mons Calpe 2-2 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Mons Calpe vs Lions Gibraltar on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lions Gibraltar score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mons Calpe score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions Gibraltar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Mons Calpe | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lions Gibraltar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe?
- The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lions Gibraltar.
- Where and when is Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe played?
- Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe is played on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.