Lithuania vs Azerbaijan: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague D - 2Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Marijampolės futbolo arenos stadionas, Marijampolė
Full time
What was the result of Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
Lithuania and Azerbaijan drew 1-1 on September 27, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 9′A. KučysLithuania (pen.)
- 14′M. EmreliAzerbaijan
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Lithuania win at 39%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Lithuania
3-4-3- 7A. Dolžnikov
- 10A. Kučys
- 14V. Slivka
- 13J. Lasickas
- 15G. Gineitis
- 16Lukas Michelbrink
- 21A. Lickūnas
- 2A. Tutyškinas
- 3E. Utkus
- 18V. Armalas
- 23D. Bartkus
Azerbaijan
5-4-1- 9R. Dadashov
- 20A. Isaev
- 13E. Səfərov
- 6A. Xaybulayev
- 10M. Emreli
- 3R. Abbasov
- 2R. Daşdəmirov
- 15B. Hüseynov
- 4R. Məmmədov
- 19T. Mütəllimov
- 1E. Balayev
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lithuania have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Azerbaijan have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Liechtenstein(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Estonia(away) | 0-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Latvia(home) | 1-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Georgia(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Moldova(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Tajikistan(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2026 | San Marino(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Malta(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Sierra Leone(home) | 1-1 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | St. Lucia(home) | 6-1 | FIFA Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Lithuania wins, 1 draw, 0 Azerbaijan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2019 | Azerbaijan 0-0 Lithuania | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Azerbaijan vs Lithuania on Mar 25, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Lithuania score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Azerbaijan score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Azerbaijan | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lithuania sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (4 points from 3 matches) and Azerbaijan sit 1st (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
A question about Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy