Lochee United vs Cowdenbeath: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Thomson Park, Dundee
The Footlab model makes Lochee United the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Cowdenbeath. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lochee United vs Cowdenbeath?
Lochee United starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,637 vs 1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lochee United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cowdenbeath have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(home) | 5-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Musselburgh Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunipace(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 4-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tranent Juniors(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lochee United score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cowdenbeath score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lochee United | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Cowdenbeath | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lochee United sit 12th in Football League - Lowland League (10 points from 5 matches) and Cowdenbeath sit 26th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lochee United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 26 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lochee United vs Cowdenbeath?
- The Footlab model makes Lochee United the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Cowdenbeath.
- Where and when is Lochee United vs Cowdenbeath played?
- Lochee United vs Cowdenbeath is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Thomson Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers