Lokomotiv Kyiv vs UCSA: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Kyiv the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for UCSA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv Kyiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs UCSA?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Kyiv (1,737) and UCSA (1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs UCSA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Kyiv
4-3-3- 33S. Myakushko
- 10D. Golub
- 47I. Pushkutsa
- 90Petro Savchuk
- 27V. Tymenko
- 34D. Nagnoynyi
- 5Mykola Syrash
- 3R. Savchenko
- 19R. Tkachenko
- 32D. Romanenko
- 1R. Lyopka
UCSA
4-3-3- 22Yegor Rogach
- 9O. Khoblenko
- 71Ruan Santos
- 49Vitinho
- 73P. Castro
- 17O. Sklyar
- 15O. Osman
- 35Hiago
- 45D. Sabiyev
- 42D. Makhnev
- 31V. Yushchyshyn
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Kyiv have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; UCSA have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 3-3 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lokomotiv Kyiv wins, 2 draws, 1 UCSA win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | UCSA 3-2 Lokomotiv Kyiv | Persha Liga |
| Nov 3, 2023 | UCSA 1-1 Lokomotiv Kyiv | Druha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Lokomotiv Kyiv 0-0 UCSA | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Kyiv score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UCSA score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| UCSA | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Kyiv sit 7th in Persha Liga (20 points from 14 matches) and UCSA sit 12th (14 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 12 | UCSA | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Lokomotiv Kyiv vs UCSA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs UCSA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Kyiv the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for UCSA.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs UCSA played?
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs UCSA is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.