Los Angeles FC II vs Ventura County: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Titan Stadium, Fullerton, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Ventura County. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles FC II vs Ventura County?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Los Angeles FC II (1,626) and Ventura County (1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles FC II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Ventura County have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sporting KC II(home) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Tacoma Defiance(home) | 4-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portland Timbers II(away) | 0-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colorado Rapids II(home) | 3-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | North Texas(away) | 2-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Portland Timbers II(home) | 2-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Houston Dynamo FC II(away) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | North Texas(home) | 6-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | The Town(home) | 3-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Los Angeles FC II(home) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Los Angeles FC II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ventura County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ventura County 2-0 Los Angeles FC II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 17, 2026 | Los Angeles FC II 3-2 Ventura County | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Ventura County 3-3 Los Angeles FC II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 10, 2025 | Ventura County 2-1 Los Angeles FC II | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Los Angeles FC II 3-1 Ventura County | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Ventura County 1-2 Los Angeles FC II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles FC II score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ventura County score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC II | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ventura County | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles FC II sit 5th in MLS Next Pro (41 points from 23 matches) and Ventura County sit 4th (42 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ventura County | 23 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 42 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC II | 23 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 23 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 42 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 23 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 22 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 35 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC II vs Ventura County?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Ventura County.
- Where and when is Los Angeles FC II vs Ventura County played?
- Los Angeles FC II vs Ventura County is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Titan Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC