Louisville City vs Phoenix Rising: result 1-0 and analysis
USL ChampionshipChampionship - FinalKick-off on November 9, 2018 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, Kentucky
Full time
What was the result of Louisville City vs Phoenix Rising?
Louisville City won 1-0 on November 9, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 62′102371Louisville City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Louisville City have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Phoenix Rising have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2018 | New York RB II(home) | 5-1 | USL Championship |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Philadelphia Union II(home) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Indy Eleven(home) | 4-1 | USL Championship |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Indy Eleven(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Oct 9, 2018 | North Carolina(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2018 | Orange County SC(away) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Sporting KC II(home) | 4-2 | USL Championship |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Portland Timbers II(home) | 3-0 | USL Championship |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Portland Timbers II(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 2-5 | USL Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Louisville City score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Phoenix Rising score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville City | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Phoenix Rising | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Louisville City sit 3rd in USL Championship (21 points from 14 matches) and Phoenix Rising sit 5th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 31 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy