Match

Lourdes vs PAU: prediction and stats

Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Luis Asarta, Tudela

LourdesPAU

The Footlab AI model makes PAU the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Lourdes. The most likely score is 0-3.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lourdes vs PAU?

PAU starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,593).

3%7%90%
Lourdes winDrawPAU win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lourdes vs PAU

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lourdes

4-3-3
  1. DDavid Royo Castillo
  2. MM. Jiménez
  3. EEdwin Damián Matute Correa
  1. MMohamed El Khayat Rifi
  2. JJavier Urzaiz
  3. VValentin Jacques Pierre Gracia
  1. AAdrian Garcia Mendia
  2. EEneko Dominguez Majuelo
  3. SSergio Alegría Andrés
  4. JJuan Lozano
  1. UUnai Basurto Berrueta

PAU

5-3-2
  1. 7H. Benali
  2. 18J. Sebas
  1. 6C. Fall
  2. 21J. Benet
  3. 5L. Rajot
  1. 23A. Briançon
  2. 29G. Paquiez
  3. 88A. Bamba
  4. 39M. Tourraine
  5. 2T. Pouilly
  1. 1B. Maubleu

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:20 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lourdes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; PAU have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lourdes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2025CD Sant Jordi(home)1-3Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025CD Sant Jordi(away)0-1Copa del Rey
Jun 26, 2021Txantrea(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Jun 19, 2021Subiza(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Jun 12, 2021River Ega(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
PAU
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Metz(away)3-1Ligue 2
Oct 23, 2026Grenoble(home)2-1Ligue 2
Oct 16, 2026Guingamp(away)2-1Ligue 2
Oct 9, 2026Laval(home)3-2Ligue 2
Oct 3, 2026Toulouse(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Lourdes score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; PAU score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lourdes1.32.3111/1510/15
PAU1.31.528/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Lourdes vs PAU?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lourdes vs PAU?
The Footlab AI model makes PAU the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Lourdes.
Where and when is Lourdes vs PAU played?
Lourdes vs PAU is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Luis Asarta, in the Coupe de France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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