Lucky Mile vs Tuen Mun FC: result 4-2 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on February 9, 2014 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Hong Kong Football Club Stadium, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Lucky Mile vs Tuen Mun FC?
Lucky Mile won 4-2 on February 9, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Lucky Mile have 2 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Tuen Mun FC have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2014 | Wanchai(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 19, 2014 | Shatin(away) | 0-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 0-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Resources Capital(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Double Flower(home) | 0-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2014 | Kwai Tsing(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 19, 2014 | Kwun Tong(away) | 0-6 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Double Flower(home) | 2-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Wong Tai Sin(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Wanchai(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucky Mile score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 12; Tuen Mun FC score 1.2 and concede 3.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky Mile | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 4/12 | 8/12 |
| Tuen Mun FC | 1.2 | 3.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy