Luçon vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: result 1-3 and analysis
Ligue 3Regular Season - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2013 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean de Mouzon, Luçon
Full time
What was the result of Luçon vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
Fréjus St-Raphaël won 1-3 on September 13, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 30′Mathieu ScarpelliFréjus St-Raphaël
- 39′Thomas DelanoëLuçon
- 53′Ablai BaldéFréjus St-Raphaël
- 59′Mathieu ScarpelliFréjus St-Raphaël
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luçon have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2013 | Uzès Pont du Gard(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 30, 2013 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 23, 2013 | Colomiers(away) | 1-5 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 16, 2013 | Dunkerque(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 9, 2013 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2013 | Paris FC(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 30, 2013 | Vannes(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 23, 2013 | Strasbourg(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 16, 2013 | Gazelec FC Ajaccio(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 9, 2013 | Uzès Pont du Gard(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Luçon score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luçon | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy