Lugano II vs Bavois: result 2-1 and analysis
1. Liga PromotionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 16, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Centro sportivo Cornaredo B2, Lugano
Full time
What was the result of Lugano II vs Bavois?
Lugano II won 2-1 on September 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 4′?Lugano II
- 36′?Bavois
- 40′M. De JesusLugano II
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bavois have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2023 | Bulle(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Paradiso(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Rapperswil(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 26, 2023 | St. Gallen II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Young Boys II(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2023 | Brühl(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Servette II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Étoile Carouge(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Delémont(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Cham(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano II score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bavois score 1.7 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano II | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Bavois | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugano II sit 17th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Bavois sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bavois | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 17 | Lugano II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy