Lugano vs Argentino de Merlo: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 7, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Moraños, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Lugano vs Argentino de Merlo?
Lugano won 1-0 on October 7, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Argentino de Merlo have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2018 | Puerto Nuevo(away) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Liniers(away) | 0-2 | Primera D |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Yupanqui(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| May 16, 2018 | Real Pilar(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2018 | Yupanqui(home) | 3-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Defensores de Cambaceres(away) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Central Ballester(home) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Atletico Atlas(away) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 3, 2018 | Deportivo Muñiz(home) | 0-1 | Primera D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lugano wins, 0 draws, 2 Argentino de Merlo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2018 | Argentino de Merlo 3-2 Lugano | Primera D |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Lugano 1-3 Argentino de Merlo | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Argentino de Merlo vs Lugano on Mar 25, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Argentino de Merlo score 1.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Argentino de Merlo | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy