Lugano vs Centro Español: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DRegular Season - 25Kick-off on May 7, 2017 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio República de Italia, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Lugano vs Centro Español?
Lugano won 1-0 on May 7, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Centro Español have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2017 | Ituzaingó(away) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Leandro N. Alem(home) | 1-2 | Primera D |
| Apr 17, 2017 | Victoriano Arenas(home) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Argentino Rosario(away) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Yupanqui(home) | 2-4 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2017 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 0-3 | Primera D |
| Apr 28, 2017 | Central Ballester(away) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Apr 24, 2017 | Yupanqui(away) | 0-2 | Primera D |
| Apr 19, 2017 | Deportivo Paraguayo(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Apr 3, 2017 | Deportivo Muñiz(home) | 1-3 | Primera D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lugano wins, 2 draws, 1 Centro Español win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2016 | Centro Español 1-2 Lugano | Primera D |
| Sep 1, 2015 | Centro Español 1-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Apr 30, 2015 | Lugano 4-1 Centro Español | Primera D |
| Feb 23, 2014 | Centro Español 0-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Sep 8, 2013 | Lugano 1-0 Centro Español | Primera D |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Lugano 0-0 Centro Español | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Centro Español vs Lugano on Oct 30, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Centro Español score 0.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Centro Español | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugano sit 9th in Primera D (16 points from 13 matches) and Centro Español sit 6th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Centro Español | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy