Lugano vs El Porvenir: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera CApertura - 15Kick-off on April 28, 2024 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Moraños, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Lugano vs El Porvenir?
Lugano won 2-1 on April 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 6′Alan Nahuel SeguelLugano
- 67′?El Porvenir
- 80′Alan Nahuel SeguelLugano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; El Porvenir have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Lujan(away) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Sportivo Barracas(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Berazategui(away) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Yupanqui(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Mar 31, 2024 | JJ Urquiza(away) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Puerto Nuevo(home) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Central Cordoba(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Mercedes(home) | 4-0 | Primera C |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Mar 30, 2024 | General Lamadrid(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lugano wins, 0 draws, 6 El Porvenir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | Lugano 0-1 El Porvenir | Primera D |
| Aug 21, 2023 | El Porvenir 3-1 Lugano | Primera D |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Lugano 0-1 El Porvenir | Primera D |
| Oct 3, 2015 | El Porvenir 1-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Jun 14, 2015 | Lugano 2-4 El Porvenir | Primera D |
| Oct 18, 2014 | El Porvenir 4-0 Lugano | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Lugano vs El Porvenir on Nov 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| El Porvenir | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugano sit 7th in Primera C (46 points from 32 matches) and El Porvenir sit 8th (40 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LuganoGroup A | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 46 |
| 8 | El PorvenirGroup B | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 40 |
A question about Lugano vs El Porvenir?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 27, 2024Central Cordoba3-0General Lamadrid
- Apr 27, 2024Leandro N. Alem0-1Yupanqui
- Apr 27, 2024Victoriano Arenas1-2JJ Urquiza
- Apr 27, 2024Puerto Nuevo0-1Ituzaingó
- Apr 27, 2024Mercedes0-0Deportivo Muñiz
- Apr 28, 2024Juventud Unida2-1Lujan
- Apr 28, 2024Atletico Atlas3-3Argentino Rosario
- Apr 28, 2024Central Ballester0-0Berazategui