Lugano vs El Porvenir: result 0-4 and analysis
Primera DMatchday 5Kick-off on September 17, 2014 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio República de Italia, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Lugano vs El Porvenir?
El Porvenir won 0-4 on September 17, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; El Porvenir have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | Central Ballester(home) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 8, 2014 | Puerto Nuevo(away) | 2-6 | Primera D |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Leandro N. Alem(away) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Aug 20, 2014 | Canuelas(home) | 2-2 | Primera D |
| Aug 15, 2014 | Claypole(away) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2014 | Yupanqui(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 8, 2014 | Central Ballester(away) | 3-0 | Primera D |
| Aug 29, 2014 | Puerto Nuevo(home) | 5-1 | Primera D |
| Aug 20, 2014 | Leandro N. Alem(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Aug 16, 2014 | Canuelas(away) | 0-2 | Primera D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lugano wins, 0 draws, 2 El Porvenir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | El Porvenir 1-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Lugano 0-1 El Porvenir | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| El Porvenir | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
A question about Lugano vs El Porvenir?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy