Lugano vs El Porvenir: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 21, 2013 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio República de Italia, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Lugano vs El Porvenir?
El Porvenir won 0-1 on September 21, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; El Porvenir have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 8, 2013 | Centro Español(home) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 1, 2013 | Central Ballester(away) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Atletico Atlas(home) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Canuelas(away) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2013 | Leandro N. Alem(away) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 1, 2013 | Sportivo Barracas(home) | 1-2 | Primera D |
| Aug 26, 2013 | San Martín Burzaco(away) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Aug 4, 2013 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 1-1 | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 1.4 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| El Porvenir | 1.4 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2013Deportivo Riestra0-1Central Ballester
- Sep 20, 2013Juventud Unida2-3Deportivo Muñiz
- Sep 20, 2013Sportivo Barracas0-2San Martín Burzaco
- Sep 20, 2013Leandro N. Alem5-0Argentino Rosario
- Sep 20, 2013Claypole3-2Atletico Atlas
- Sep 21, 2013Victoriano Arenas1-1Canuelas
- Sep 21, 2013San Miguel2-0Centro Español
- Sep 21, 2013Yupanqui1-1Deportivo Paraguayo