Lugazi vs Kitara: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lugazi FC Stadium, Najjembe
The Footlab AI model makes Kitara the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Lugazi. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugazi vs Kitara?
Kitara starts as the favourite with a 257-point Elo edge (1,506 vs 1,249).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lugazi vs Kitara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lugazi
Not enough data to predict the Lugazi lineup.
Kitara
Not enough data to predict the Kitara lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 09:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugazi have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kitara have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Vipers(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Express(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | UPDF(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Al Ahly(away) | 0-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 1-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Lugazi wins, 1 draw, 3 Kitara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lugazi 1-2 Kitara | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Kitara 4-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Kitara 0-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Lugazi 0-3 Kitara | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugazi score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitara score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugazi | 0.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Kitara | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugazi sit 15th in Premier League (8 points from 10 matches) and Kitara sit 10th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kitara | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Lugazi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Lugazi vs Kitara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugazi vs Kitara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kitara the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Lugazi.
- Where and when is Lugazi vs Kitara played?
- Lugazi vs Kitara is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lugazi FC Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.