Lugazi vs UPDF: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lugazi FC Stadium, Najjembe
Full time
What was the result of Lugazi vs UPDF?
Lugazi won 1-0 on February 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 15′Richard AyikoLugazi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugazi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; UPDF have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SC Villa(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2026 | BUL(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Mbarara City(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2026 | NEC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Buhimba Saints(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Kitara(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lugazi wins, 1 draw, 2 UPDF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | UPDF 2-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Lugazi 2-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2024 | UPDF 1-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugazi score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugazi | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| UPDF | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugazi sit 11th in Premier League (7 points from 6 matches) and UPDF sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | UPDF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Lugazi vs UPDF?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy