Lugo vs Rayo Vallecano: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 13, 2016 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
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What was the result of Lugo vs Rayo Vallecano?
Lugo won 1-0 on November 13, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 25′Fernando SeoaneLugo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Rayo Vallecano have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2016 | Oviedo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Cadiz(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Reus(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Getafe(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Mirandes(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Tenerife(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Girona(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Numancia(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 13; Rayo Vallecano score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/13 | 7/13 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy