Lustenau vs SK St. Johann: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Holzstraße, Lustenau
The Footlab model makes Lustenau the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for SK St. Johann. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lustenau vs SK St. Johann?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Lustenau (1,546) and SK St. Johann (1,543).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lustenau have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; SK St. Johann have 1, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hohenems(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kitzbühel(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kitzbühel(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dornbirn(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; SK St. Johann score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lustenau | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| SK St. Johann | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lustenau sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (1 points from 4 matches) and SK St. Johann sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SK St. Johann | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Lustenau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lustenau vs SK St. Johann?
- The Footlab model makes Lustenau the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for SK St. Johann.
- Where and when is Lustenau vs SK St. Johann played?
- Lustenau vs SK St. Johann is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Holzstraße, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.