Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Holzstraße, Lustenau
The Footlab model makes Swarovski Tirol II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol II?
Swarovski Tirol II starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lustenau have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Swarovski Tirol II have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hohenems(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kitzbühel(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kitzbühel(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wolfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Imst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dornbirn(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Telfs(home) | 2-1 | Landesliga - Tirol |
How many goals should we expect?
Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swarovski Tirol II score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lustenau | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Swarovski Tirol II | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lustenau sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (1 points from 4 matches) and Swarovski Tirol II sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Swarovski Tirol II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Lustenau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol II?
- The Footlab model makes Swarovski Tirol II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Lustenau.
- Where and when is Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol II played?
- Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol II is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Holzstraße, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.