Luverdense vs Parana: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 5, 2016 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Passo Das Emas, Lucas do Rio Verde, Mato Grosso
Full time
What was the result of Luverdense vs Parana?
Luverdense won 3-2 on October 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 18′AlfredoLuverdense
- 24′AlfredoLuverdense
- 44′Lúcio FlávioParana
- 52′Sérgio MotaLuverdense
- 61′NadsonParana (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luverdense have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Parana have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2016 | Tupi(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Ceara(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Vila Nova(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Brasil DE Pelotas(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2016 | Goias(away) | 0-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Londrina(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Luverdense win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Parana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2016 | Parana 1-2 Luverdense | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Luverdense 2-0 Parana | Serie B |
| Jun 9, 2015 | Parana 1-0 Luverdense | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Luverdense 0-2 Parana | Serie B |
| Jun 6, 2014 | Parana 0-2 Luverdense | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Luverdense score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Parana score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luverdense | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Parana | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy