Luzern II vs Bellinzona: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on May 22, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Hubelmatt, Luzern
The Footlab model makes Luzern II the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Bellinzona. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzern II vs Bellinzona?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Luzern II (1,649) and Bellinzona (1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzern II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bellinzona have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotkreuz(away) | 1-4 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Luzern II score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bellinzona score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzern II | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Bellinzona | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzern II sit 14th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Bellinzona sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Luzern II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzern II vs Bellinzona?
- The Footlab model makes Luzern II the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Bellinzona.
- Where and when is Luzern II vs Bellinzona played?
- Luzern II vs Bellinzona is played on May 22, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Hubelmatt, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.