Luzern II vs Lugano II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Hubelmatt, Luzern
The Footlab model makes Luzern II the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Lugano II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzern II vs Lugano II?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Luzern II (1,648) and Lugano II (1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzern II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lugano II have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-5 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 4-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luzern II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Lugano II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugano II 4-3 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Luzern II 4-2 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Lugano II 2-2 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Luzern II 1-1 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Lugano II 1-1 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 25, 2024 | Lugano II 1-2 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Lugano II vs Luzern II on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luzern II score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano II score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzern II | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Lugano II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzern II sit 14th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Lugano II sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Luzern II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 17 | Lugano II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzern II vs Lugano II?
- The Footlab model makes Luzern II the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Lugano II.
- Where and when is Luzern II vs Lugano II played?
- Luzern II vs Lugano II is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Hubelmatt, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.