Lynx vs Mons Calpe: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lynx. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lynx vs Mons Calpe?
Mons Calpe starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,362 vs 1,258).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lynx have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mons Calpe have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Europa Point(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Europa(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lynx win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Mons Calpe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lynx 2-3 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Mons Calpe 1-0 Lynx | Rock Cup |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Lynx 1-2 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Mons Calpe 5-2 Lynx | Premier Division |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Lynx 1-2 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Mons Calpe 1-0 Lynx | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lynx score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mons Calpe score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lynx | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Mons Calpe | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lynx | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lynx vs Mons Calpe?
- The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lynx.
- Where and when is Lynx vs Mons Calpe played?
- Lynx vs Mons Calpe is played on January 15, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.