Maardu vs Tartu Welco: result 0-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on May 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Maardu linnastaadion, Maardu
Full time
What was the result of Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
Tartu Welco won 0-1 on May 24, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 66′M. MugraTartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maardu have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tartu Welco have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| May 9, 2026 | Nõmme United II(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| May 1, 2026 | Flora II(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 23, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Flora II(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga A |
| May 9, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| May 1, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Elva(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Maardu wins, 0 draws, 1 Tartu Welco win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tartu Welco 5-1 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Maardu 7-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Tartu Welco 0-4 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| May 31, 2021 | Maardu 6-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Tartu Welco 0-1 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Tartu Welco 0-2 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Tartu Welco vs Maardu on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maardu score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 2.4 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maardu | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maardu sit 6th in Esiliiga A (45 points from 32 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (77 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 101 | 45 | 77 |
| 6 | Maardu | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 59 | 45 |
A question about Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy